000 02185nab a2200241Ia 4500
003 PILC
005 20221123182325.0
008 180418s9999 xx 000 0 und d
040 _cMANILA TYTANA COLLEGES LIBRARY
100 _aSotocinal, Noli R.
245 0 _aRegime switching in inflation targeting under conditions of public debt in the Philippines /
_cNoli R. Sotocinal
260 _c2015
336 _atext
337 _aunmediated
338 _avolume
440 _aPhilippine Management Review
_n22, page 35-52
520 _aA standard inflation targeting framework assumes the absence of fiscal dominance, and abstracts from the effects of unbalanced fiscal positions and public debt financing. This assumption is relaxed by adding the notion of a fiscal gap into the standard inflation targeting model. The financing of fiscal gaps is assumed to be largely implemented through the creation or retirement of public debt, which then affects the premium levied on Philippine interest and exchange rates in the international and domestic capital markets. A Markovian Regime Switching Vector Autoregression model based on an extended inflation targeting system under the presence of a fiscal gap and public debt is specified and estimated using Philippine data. The research reveals that the fiscal gap significantly impacts on the target variables in the inflation targeting system and directly affects the short-term interest rate contrary to the standard assumption of zero fiscal dominance. Furthermore, there is evidence of the existence of interest rate regimes, such that activist fiscal policies in the low output regimes are only effective in the short term, as their impact on interest rates are larger and tend to lead to interest rate increases beyond those intended by the monetary authorities. The research's findings support the notion that effective macroeconomic management requires some degree of policy coordination between the monetary and fiscal authorities.
521 _aBusiness Administration
650 _aInflation (Finance).
_zPhilippines.
650 _aFiscal limitations (Economic policy).
942 _cAN
_2lcc
998 _c81303
_d139666
999 _c78275
_d78275